PH set to boost wheat imports in 2025 as demand grows

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The Philippines is set to import more wheat in 2024-2025 due to rising demand for bread, cakes, noodles, and population growth.

The USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service expects wheat imports to reach 7.2 million metric tons from July 2024 to June 2025.

The estimated volume is 4.1 percent higher than the 6.9 million MT of wheat that the USDA-FAS estimates to have been imported to the Philippines in the 2023-2024 marketing year.

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The report expects the importation of milling wheat—which is used for human consumption—to increase in the current marketing year, but anticipates stable overseas purchases of feed wheat, which is used for animals’ food.

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The Philippines does not produce wheat and depends solely on imports to meet its supply needs.

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The demand for milling wheat is estimated to rise by 4.3 percent to 3.65 million MT while the forecast on feed wheat consumption is maintained at 3.45 million MT.

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“Industry contacts engaged in manufacturing of flour and wheat-based products (bread, cakes, noodles, and pasta) report that consumption of milling wheat remains strong in the country supported by continued population growth and increasing income levels,” the USDA-FAS said.

“As a result of income increases, industry contacts report that consumers are diversifying their diet to include other wheat-based products, alongside the staple rice, which are consumed both at home and outside the home (such as at quick-service and full-service restaurants),” it said.

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Corn still king
However, the American agency said it anticipates the consumption of feed wheat to be unchanged as local feed manufacturers will favor feed corn more due to declining global corn prices.

The report observed that corn is still the preferred key ingredient in producing animal feeds given its nutritional profile (fattening) and physical attributes (yellow color).

Feed wheat, on the other hand, is used to fill supply gaps for feed corn or when prices for feed wheat are lower.

According to the USDA-FAS, prices of milling wheat have decreased to an average of $274 per MT in July-August from $311 per MT in the same period last year.

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In the case of imported corn, prices have been dropping overall since May this year, save for an uptick in July, which decreased demand for imported feed wheat in the Philippines. INQ