SUMMER will start on the third week of March, same as last year, but rainfall will be “way below normal” in April, according to the state weather bureau.
Another pattern to watch out for is the El Niño, which is forecast to develop from May to July, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).
This assessment coincides with that of the US government weather forecasters which predictis a warming of the central Pacific Ocean or El Niño this year.
The National Oceanic Atmospheric and Administration issued an official El Niño watch last Thursday.
Mike Halpert, acting director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, said the El Niño warming should develop by this summer, but there are no guarantees.
Citing NOAA data, Pagasa’s Climate Outlook forecasts the El Niño to develop in May to July.
LOSSES
Pagasas 2014 half-year climate outlook for the Philippines earlier said the country will experience near-normal to above-normal rainfall by May to June.
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